Analysis AI-generated

Waiting for the triggerHow this is checked
UNI · 1H · UPTREND
My last read from Aug 23 hit Target 2 at 4.55 — that move is fully completed, and I'm starting clean from the structure formed after that. What followed was a multi-week grind from roughly 6.00 to 7.50, then a violent vertical rip from ~6.20 all the way to 9.50 visible on the far right of this chart — the SEC's September 17 framework directly benefiting Uniswap v4 was the catalyst, and price is now sitting at 8.89 after that spike. The daily trend is confirmed UP, the move has fundamental backing from the regulatory pathway news, but funding is running at 0.0753% per 8h — extreme long crowding — and price is sitting below three liquidation clusters stacked above at 8.96, 9.05, and 9.22. The spike wick to 9.50 and the pullback already in progress tell me this is a price correction happening right now, not a time correction — lower highs are forming off that wick, and the short MAs have rolled over from the spike extreme.
I'm not chasing here. Price came off 9.50 to 8.89 already, and I'm watching whether the 8.37–8.45 cluster below acts as a floor. That's the zone I want to see hold — it's the first meaningful support below and aligns with the pre-spike consolidation base. Extreme funding means any further squeeze on longs fuels a deeper flush toward 8.20 before this resolves, so I'd rather wait for the liquidation cascade to run its course below than step in front of it. A clean hold at 8.37–8.45 with a reclaim of 8.60–8.70 is the confirmation I'm waiting for before re-entering long.
LONG (CONDITIONAL) SCENARIO
Confirmation
8.37
Price flushes into the 8.37–8.45 liquidation cluster below, holds it, and closes back above 8.60 — that sequence tells me the long-side fuel below is spent and structure is recovering.
Invalidation
8.20
Structure invalidated below 8.20 — that's the next dense cluster beneath and losing it means the correction is deeper than a simple shakeout; the prior base is failing.
Target 1
9.05
Dense liquidation cluster directly above, high-probability stall as that overhead fuel gets swept.
Target 2
9.22
Next cluster above, aligns with the upper range of the spike structure visible on this chart.
Risk/Reward
(9.05 − 8.60) / (8.60 − 8.20) = 0.45 / 0.40 = 1.1:1 — below the minimum at that confirmation, so I'm sizing Target 2 as the true objective: (9.22 − 8.60) / (8.60 − 8.20) = 0.62 / 0.40 = 1.6:1
Confidence
MEDIUM — higher-timeframe trend and the SEC catalyst are both aligned, but extreme funding and the spike wick overhead mean the flush to support could be deeper or faster than expected before the setup prints
Resistance: 9.05 (liquidation cluster) / 9.22 (liquidation cluster)
Support: 8.37–8.45 (dense liquidation cluster / confirmation zone) / 8.20 (next cluster below / invalidation anchor)

This is not financial advice. Content is AI-generated.

Previous $UNI reads — all verified

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