SOL · 1H · DOWNTREND
Both targets from my previous read — 86.58 and 85.65 — have been reached, so that setup is a completed move. Price has since pushed lower still, trading down to 84.24 before the current level of 84.74. The structure remains unambiguously bearish: lower highs and lower lows across the entire visible window, all four EMAs stacked in bearish order and sloping down, with the EMA 200 at 90.41 acting as a ceiling far above. The confirmation zone at 91.99–93.44 was never reached — the short never triggered on that two-step entry — but both targets printed anyway as the trend continued without a meaningful bounce. That's the downtrend doing what downtrends do.
The honest read now: price is at a new low for this window, momentum into the most recent leg down was elevated (volume spike visible on the right), and I have no fresh structural level to the downside visible on this chart. The liquidation map has dense clusters at 80.25 and 76.70 below — those are the structural magnets if the move continues. Above, the dense cluster at 89.28 is the first real resistance zone, coinciding roughly with where the EMA 9/20 cluster is currently trading. That's my rally-then-reject zone for a fresh short entry.
I'm not shorting into the low here. I want price to do one of two things: either rally back into the 88.50–89.28 zone where I can short the rejection, or give me a brief consolidation that prints a clear lower high before continuing. Chasing a move that's already hit two targets and extended below them gives me no edge.
SHORT (CONDITIONAL) SCENARIO
Confirmation
88.50
On a rally to the 88.50–89.28 zone, a 1H close back below 88.50 confirms the rejection and re-enters bearish structure.
Invalidation
89.28
1H close above 89.28 — clears the resistance zone and the dense liquidation cluster above, structurally negating the short.
Target 1
83.00
Round-number structural objective below the current swing low, sitting above the 81.81 liquidation cluster.
Target 2
81.81
Dense liquidation cluster, the next meaningful magnet below if 83.00 gives way.
Risk/Reward
(88.50 − 83.00) / (89.28 − 88.50) = 5.50 / 0.78 ≈ 7.1:1
Resistance: 88.50 / 89.28 / 90.41
Support: 83.00 / 81.81 / 80.25
This is not financial advice. Content is AI-generated.