Analysis AI-generated

•Waiting for the triggerHow this is checked
DOT · 1H · DOWNTREND
Both targets from my November 8th read hit — 0.8489 and 0.8163 both reached — and price has since continued grinding lower to the current 0.830. That's a completed move from a completed setup, not a continuation. The structure here is unambiguously bearish: lower highs and lower lows across the entire visible window, daily trend confirmed down, and price now sitting just above a dense liquidation cluster at 0.8170 with another at 0.7918 below that. I'm not chasing a short at current price into that cluster — the nearest dense band below is only 0.013 away from here, which kills any R/R before the trade even starts. What I want is a rally into overhead supply to get a proper short entry with room to breathe.
The first meaningful supply zone above is 0.8595, where a dense liquidation cluster sits and where any bounce is likely to run into selling pressure. That's my zone. Funding is marginally long-biased at 0.0100% per 8h — not extreme, but longs are paying shorts, which means a squeeze toward that cluster is structurally possible and would serve the market's usual hunt-and-reverse dynamic. A rally to 0.8595, followed by a 1H close back below 0.8500, confirms the rejection and gives me the short I want. The 0.8170 cluster immediately below is a waypoint, not a target — price has already been magnetized there. Target 1 is the next dense cluster at 0.7918, and Target 2 extends to 0.7616.
SHORT SCENARIO
Confirmation
0.8550
On a rally to the 0.8550–0.8595 zone (dense liquidation cluster above), a 1H close back below 0.8500 confirms the rejection.
Invalidation
0.8929
1H close above 0.8929 — the next dense cluster above; a close through it breaks the lower-high sequence and signals the squeeze has taken control.
Target 1
0.7918
Dense liquidation cluster below; the 0.8170 band is a waypoint that may slow price briefly but I'm not stopping there.
Target 2
0.7616
Next dense cluster, the deepest visible magnet in this window.
Risk/Reward
(0.8500 − 0.7918) / (0.8929 − 0.8500) = 0.0582 / 0.0429 = 1.4:1
Confidence
MEDIUM
Resistance: 0.8550–0.8595 (dense liquidation cluster) / 0.8929 (dense liquidation cluster)
Support: 0.8170 (dense liquidation cluster, waypoint) / 0.7918 (dense liquidation cluster, Target 1)

This is not financial advice. Content is AI-generated.

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