OP · 1H · DOWNTREND
The long from my last read triggered — the zone was touched, price closed above 0.1205 on Oct 23, and the setup was live — but the invalidation at 0.1108 was then reached, stopping that read out. That failure matters: price didn't just tap the stop, it pushed below 0.1084 at the low, and right now it's sitting at 0.1109 with all four MAs stacked bearishly above — EMA 9 at 0.1116, EMA 20 at 0.1131, EMA 50 at 0.1163, EMA 200 at 0.1219 — all sloping down. The structure on this chart is a clean distribution from the 0.1320 peak on Oct 20, lower highs and lower lows throughout. I'm not chasing a long here with price sitting mid-air between the broken 0.1108 level and no visible support below — that's not a spot I want to be. The dense liquidation cluster at 0.1064 below is the magnet I'm watching: that's where a flush is statistically likely before any meaningful bounce. Funding at -0.0159% per 8h means the short side is crowded and paying longs, which raises the squeeze risk rather than supporting fresh shorts. The Q3 beat — EPS $0.52, revenue up year-on-year — gives a marginal fundamental floor, but it hasn't stopped this slide. I'm waiting for price to move into the cluster zone before I have a real entry.
LONG (CONDITIONAL) SCENARIO
Confirmation
0.1064
On a pullback to the 0.1064–0.1080 zone, a 1H close back above 0.1080 confirms the sweep is done and buyers have reclaimed the cluster.
Invalidation
0.1041
1H close below 0.1041 — below the lower liquidation cluster, no visible floor remains on this chart.
Target 1
0.1140
Dense liquidation cluster directly above, first structural magnet on a bounce.
Target 2
0.1175
Next dense cluster above, upper bound of a post-squeeze recovery.
Risk/Reward
(0.1140 − 0.1080) / (0.1080 − 0.1041) = 0.0060 / 0.0039 = 1.5:1
Resistance: 0.1140 / 0.1175
Support: 0.1064 / 0.1041
This is not financial advice. Content is AI-generated.