OP · 1H · DOWNTREND
The previous long setup from Aug 10 is confirmed stopped out — price never sustained above 0.0913, rolled over hard from the 0.1200 spike zone, and has now retraced the entire move back to where that read originated, sitting at 0.0894. That spike to 0.1200 and back is a textbook failed breakout: price wicked into new highs on this chart, found zero follow-through, and has been printing lower highs and lower lows on every bounce since the 0.1160 peak. The structure is unambiguously bearish. Price is currently hovering just above a cluster of liquidation zones stacked between 0.0873 and 0.0855 — these aren't support, they're fuel for a flush. Funding is negative at -0.0025% per 8h, meaning shorts are paying longs, which tells me the short side is getting crowded at these exact lows, and a squeeze into 0.0934 is live risk before the next leg down.
I'm not shorting into a liquidation cluster from right here. The honest entry is either a bounce into 0.0934 that fails, or a clean close below 0.0873 that sweeps the cluster and shows momentum. Fading from mid-air with three dense liquidation zones sitting below me is poor trade location.
SHORT SCENARIO
Confirmation
0.0934
Rejection at 0.0934 — the dense liquidation cluster above — with a close back below 0.0910 confirms bearish structure and a failed squeeze; alternatively, a close below 0.0873 on momentum sweeps the cluster and opens the breakdown.
Invalidation
0.0984
Structure invalidated on a close above 0.0984, which is the next dense liquidation cluster and would signal the squeeze is extending into real recovery.
Target 1
0.0855
Dense liquidation cluster immediately below, first magnet on a flush.
Target 2
0.0798
The next dense liquidation cluster below, measured extension of the breakdown.
Risk/Reward
from 0.0910 confirmation → T1 at 0.0855 / invalidation at 0.0984 → (0.0910 − 0.0855) / (0.0984 − 0.0910) = 0.0055 / 0.0074 = 0.7:1 to T1; to T2 → (0.0910 − 0.0798) / 0.0074 = 1.5:1
Resistance: 0.0934 / 0.0984
Support: 0.0873 / 0.0855
This is not financial advice. Content is AI-generated.